Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Bombarding the market door




Who is the entrepreneur in Kazakhstan?


“The rich,” observed the American novelist F. Scott Fitzgerald, “are very different from you and me.” 

“Yes,” chortled Ernest Hemingway, “they have more money.”

When it comes to entrepreneurs, the difference is in more than just the width of the wallet.  The entrepreneur thinks outside of the box and takes outsized risks.  He is the oddball who transforms the economy.  Joseph Schumpeter, himself a failed banker before becoming the world’s most famous economist after World War II, credited the entrepreneur with “creative destruction,” tearing old markets apart to make room for new ones.  (Who uses a slide rule any more?) 

Economists were too enamored of price-cutting as a way to compete, Schumpeter said.  Economic growth depends instead on new ideas:  “Add successively as many mail coaches as you please.  You will never get a railroad.”  The idea man is the entrepreneur.  “As soon as quality competition and sales effort are admitted into the sacred precincts of theory, the price variable is ousted from its dominant position….In capitalist reality as distinguished from its textbook picture, it is not that kind of competition which counts but the competition from the new commodity, the new technology, the new source of supply, the new type of organization (the largest-scale unit of control, for instance)—competition which commands a decisive cost or quality advantage and which strikes not at the margins of the profits and the outputs of the existing firms but at their foundations and their very lives. This kind of competition is as much more effective than the other as a bombardment is in comparison with forcing a door….”  

The problem with capitalism, Schumpeter wrote in Capitalism, socialism and democracy, was that entrepreneurs would become all too successful.  They would enable the economy to grow so rapidly that everyone would become wealthy.  Ordinary people who lacked the entrepreneur’s taste for adventure would appeal to the government to protect their wealth.  The government then would regulate the economy so heavily as to rule out the possibility of more breakthroughs by entrepreneurs. 

From that perspective, economic growth in the United States and the European Union may soon peter out – and the roaring successes of the future may be the transition economies like Kazakhstan, if their governments will get out of the way.  In any case, Schumpeter had underlined the critical question: Who, exactly, is the entrepreneur?          

This year, an economics graduate student at KIMEP University tried to answer that question.  Yuriy Shivrin surveyed 557 Kazakhstanis about why they preferred to work for themselves or for others.  He drew upon a dataset amassed by the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, along with the World Bank, in 2010. 

His results were surprising.  Urban middle-aged respondents with no children especially wanted to become entrepreneurs.  Gender and a natural tendency toward optimism were not significant factors in this desire.  Among existing entrepreneurs, single middle-aged men with no college degree particularly wished to keep working for themselves.  They didn’t perceive the 2008 financial crisis as an obstacle.  And among wage workers, urban respondents with children expressed a particularly strong wish to avoid self-employment, partly because they apparently feared a repeat of the 2008 financial crisis.

Perhaps the most striking finding was that college-educated workers weren’t eager to strike out on the entrepreneurial path.  But Schumpeter predicted this, too.  Under capitalism, he said, college professors would try to make a name for themselves as political dissidents.  After all, their specialty was the production of opinion.  Nobody ever accused Schumpeter – who himself was an iconoclastic economics professor at Harvard – of being dull. --Leon Taylor, tayloralmaty@gmail.com

Disclosure: I advised Shivrin’s master’s thesis.  The other reviewers were Altay Mussurov and Eldar Madumarov, economics professors at KIMEP University.  


Good reading 

Joseph Schumpeter.  Capitalism, socialism and democracy.  Third edition.  Harper. 2008 [1950]

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